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Oliver Buchannon
Tumiso Suping

Looking to continuously learn, practice the craft of investing, and connect with seasoned investors.

Business & Industries

Why Africa's Best Businesses Are Simple and 'Boring'

Mar 12, 2026

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6 min read

Why Africa's Best Businesses Are Simple and 'Boring'

Business media, funding rounds and pitching competitions will have you thinking the only way to make money today is by building a complex tech platform, a flashy FinTech app, or a slick SaaS product. But the reality of doing business in Africa the most successful businesses are the boring ones.

Tumiso Suping
Tumiso Suping

Development & Structure

The African Economics of 'Showing-Off' & Social Status

Nov 12, 2025

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17 min read

The African Economics of 'Showing-Off' & Social Status

Urban African households with low-mid incomes allocate large, out-sized shares of their budgets to luxury goods, nightlife, and status-signaling consumption, while savings rates remain stubbornly low and real capital/wealth accumulation lags far behind consumption growth. This is not irrational behavior it is strategic adaptation to environments where formal institutions are weak, inequality persists, and therefore traditional markers of wealth and paths to capital accumulation remain inaccessible. This leaves visibility and social status as the only substitute for those who feel real wealth and capital remains out of reach.

Tumiso Suping
Tumiso Suping

Policy & Governance

Botswana's Diamond Crisis: Assessing How Effective the Government's Policies Have Been

Nov 6, 2025

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28 min read

Botswana's Diamond Crisis: Assessing How Effective the Government's Policies Have Been

This report finds that while the government's actions are necessary, they carry significant risks. Short-term policies have been reactive and sometimes contradictory. Long-term diversification plans face a history of slow implementation and are paradoxically tied to policies that increase the state's exposure to the volatile diamond sector. The recent public health emergency, caused by the fiscal crisis, highlights the social cost of this dependency.

Tumiso Suping
Tumiso Suping

Capital & Financial Markets

How South Africa's gambling boom is reshaping the economy

Sep 15, 2025

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14 min read

How South Africa's gambling boom is reshaping the economy

South Africa’s gambling boom is now confirmed by Statistics South Africa, whose latest research reveals an explosive rise in online gambling and betting. This new data should fundamentally reframe the conversation: how does this reshaping household budgets, which businesses are supported and how is broader economy affected?

Tumiso Suping
Tumiso Suping

Macro & Geo Economics

Economic Insights: Nigeria (01/07/25)

Jul 1, 2025

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5 min read

Economic Insights: Nigeria (01/07/25)

Nigeria's economy showed mixed signals in Q1 2025. GDP growth reached 3.40% in 2024, with projections for 2025 at 3.70%. Nigeria’s trade surplus contrasts with South Africa’s Q1 2025 deficit (-$3.1bn), but trails Egypt’s export-led recovery (15% YoY growth). Continent-wide, digitalization and non-oil exports remain critical for resilience against commodity shocks

Tumiso Suping
Tumiso Suping
Economic Insights: Botswana (26/06/25)

Jun 26, 2025

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7 min read

Economic Insights: Botswana (26/06/25)

Botswana's economy remains in a corrective phase, with mixed signals across key indicators. The Bank of Botswana held the interest rates, and Botswana has consistently recorded trade deficits for over a year.

Tumiso Suping
Tumiso Suping

Capital & Financial Markets

Economic Insights: Investing in African Stock Markets (24/03/25)

Mar 24, 2025

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14 min read

Economic Insights: Investing in African Stock Markets (24/03/25)

This article discusses African stock markets, focusing on low IPO activity due to regulatory, market structure, and ecosystem issues. We emphasise the growth potential of African markets, driven by factors like a rising middle class, improved governance, and technological advancements such as mobile money. To boost IPO activity, solutions include attracting domestic retail investors, reducing IPO compliance costs, improving liquidity, and enhancing transparency and reporting standards. We suggest technological leapfrogging to overcome barriers and build stronger, more dynamic financial markets across Africa.

Tumiso Suping
Tumiso Suping
Is it possible to start investing in your early 20s?

Mar 22, 2025

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7 min read

Is it possible to start investing in your early 20s?

Even as young adults in their 20s, are faced with low disposable incomes and inflation, starting small in investing has never been easier. We propose a more proactive approach to managing personal finances that prioritizes investing. The simple adjustment is to start treating investments as a non-negotiable part of financial planning. In this article we emphasise the importance of starting early, cultivating good financial habits, and taking advantage of accessible investment platforms to set a foundation for long-term financial growth.

Tumiso Suping
Tumiso Suping
Economic Insights: Africa (17/03/25)

Mar 17, 2025

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12 min read

Economic Insights: Africa (17/03/25)

South Africa's Budget Speech announced a 0.5% increase in VAT and over R1 Trillion allocated for public infrastructure over the next 3 years. Botswana's economic outlook is downgraded by S&P Global, but Credit Ratings are maintained at 'BBB+’ in the long term and ‘A-2' in the short-term for both foreign and domestic currency.

Tumiso Suping
Tumiso Suping
Economic Insights: Africa (11/03/25)

Mar 12, 2025

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11 min read

Economic Insights: Africa (11/03/25)

Zimbabwe's gold-backed ZiG currency continues to face challenges, including a 40% devaluation by September 2024 and rising inflation. In Ghana, the government plans to implement their 'shock therapy' which sees significant spending cuts and tax reforms to address budget deficits, the Ghana PMI rose to 50.5 in February 2025, signalling growth in new business, though GDP growth slowed to 3.6% in Q4 2024. Kenya's economy showed marginal growth, with inflation rising to 3.5% in February 2025, driven by higher food and transport costs.

Tumiso Suping
Tumiso Suping
Economic Insights: Africa (04/03/25)

Mar 4, 2025

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11 min read

Economic Insights: Africa (04/03/25)

In this week we take a deeper dive into the 2 largest economies of Africa. South Africa narrowly avoided recession with 0.6% Q4 growth, while Nigeria's economy accelerated to 3.84% in Q4 2024. Despite challenges like inflation and debt, Africa's overall growth is projected to strengthen, driven by services and regional integration. Opportunities in minerals and trade offer potential for sustained growth amidst global uncertainties.

Tumiso Suping
Tumiso Suping
Economic Insights: Africa (24/02/25)

Feb 24, 2025

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10 min read

Economic Insights: Africa (24/02/25)

Africa's economic outlook remains mixed as 2025 unfolds. South Africa faces fiscal uncertainty with the delayed Budget Speech and power crises. Nigeria’s central bank held rates at 27.5% amid stabilizing inflation, while Botswana remains in recession, banking on a diamond industry recovery. Uganda's private sector contracted for the first time in nearly a year due to weak demand and rising costs. Ethiopia pushes forward with economic liberalization, launching its first stock market in decades. Despite inflation and external risks, Africa’s projected 4.3% growth in 2025 presents cautious optimism, with long-term investment potential.

Tumiso Suping
Tumiso Suping

Policy & Governance

Should Botswana Increase Minimum Wage to P4000?

Jan 5, 2025

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6 min read

Should Botswana Increase Minimum Wage to P4000?

Botswana’s new govt. proposed minimum wage increase to P4,000 represents a 203% jump from the current rate of P1,321 for general workers. While the move could significantly improve living standards and reduce income inequality in one of the world’s most unequal societies, it also poses risks to employment, business sustainability, and economic competitiveness.

Tumiso Suping
Tumiso Suping

Development & Structure

Will 2025 Be South Africa’s Economic Turning Point?

Jan 4, 2025

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5 min read

Will 2025 Be South Africa’s Economic Turning Point?

A renewed political coalition and improving business confidence signal hope for South Africa's economy in 2025. However, challenges such as fiscal pressures, infrastructure deficits, and high unemployment underscore the need for sustained reforms and prudent governance to achieve meaningful growth.

Tumiso Suping
Tumiso Suping
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Economic Research on Africa - Analysing macroeconomic trends, policies, and industries shaping the continent’s future

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